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	<title>5 Added Minutes</title>
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	<link>http://5addedminutes.com</link>
	<description>Analysing football beliefs and misconceptions</description>
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		<title>5 Added Minutes</title>
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		<item>
		<title>How important is the first goal?</title>
		<link>http://5addedminutes.com/2012/02/15/how-important-is-the-first-goal/</link>
		<comments>http://5addedminutes.com/2012/02/15/how-important-is-the-first-goal/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Feb 2012 16:07:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>5 Added Minutes</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Premier League]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://5addedminutes.com/?p=879</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[One of the biggest problems I’ve experienced in evaluating the effect of performance variables on success is that it is difficult to establish how much these factors are truly influencing results. For example, if there is a relationship between pass accuracy and winning, we might conclude that teams who pass well are more likely to [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=5addedminutes.com&amp;blog=19331015&amp;post=879&amp;subd=5addedminutes&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">5addedminutes</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">Premier League goal</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2012/02/epfg1.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Expected points from the first goal</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2012/02/epfg2.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Expected points from the first goal by minute</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2012/02/epfg3.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Expected points from the first goal by league position</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2012/02/epfg4.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Expected points from the first goal by season</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2012/02/epfg5.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Expected points from the first goal scored - top 10 teams since 2007/08</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2012/02/epfg6.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Expected points from the first goal conceded - top 10 teams since 2007/08</media:title>
		</media:content>
	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Premier League passing trends 2011/12</title>
		<link>http://5addedminutes.com/2012/01/25/premier-league-passing-trends/</link>
		<comments>http://5addedminutes.com/2012/01/25/premier-league-passing-trends/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jan 2012 17:51:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>5 Added Minutes</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Premier League]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://5addedminutes.com/?p=853</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Pass completion statistics are fast becoming a popular measure of player evaluation, no doubt aided by the fact that Barcelona have set a benchmark at the top of club football. Like all statistics though, and perhaps even more so for passing data, more context is required, particularly when you note that Leon Britton has trumped [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=5addedminutes.com&amp;blog=19331015&amp;post=853&amp;subd=5addedminutes&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://5addedminutes.com/2012/01/25/premier-league-passing-trends/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">5addedminutes</media:title>
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		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/5999674672_6aa7f00117.jpg?w=300" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Charlie Adam</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/pcompepft.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Pass completion entire pitch and pass completion final third</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/percpft.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Successful passes completed in the final third</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/sftppgs.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Successful final third passes per goal scored</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/sftppgc.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Successful final third passes allowed per goal conceded</media:title>
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		<item>
		<title>The national job: the only way is English?</title>
		<link>http://5addedminutes.com/2012/01/11/the-national-job-the-only-way-is-english/</link>
		<comments>http://5addedminutes.com/2012/01/11/the-national-job-the-only-way-is-english/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Jan 2012 11:32:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>5 Added Minutes</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[English Football]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internationals]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://5addedminutes.com/?p=832</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[By early July, after the tears from another limp summer tournament failure are wiped away, the England national team will welcome in a &#8216;new era’. Gone will be the bumbling Capello, a man who could neither motivate nor associate with his players, and in comes the lionhearted Englishman, who values full-bloodedness over false nines. As [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=5addedminutes.com&amp;blog=19331015&amp;post=832&amp;subd=5addedminutes&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://5addedminutes.com/2012/01/11/the-national-job-the-only-way-is-english/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>4</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">5addedminutes</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/2995830211_a233e607a9.jpg?w=300" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Harry Redknapp</media:title>
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		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/engrectrend2.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">England&#039;s Elo Rating since 1996</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/engrec96.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">England&#039;s record since 1996</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/engrec99.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">England&#039;s record since 1999</media:title>
		</media:content>
	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Expectations table: managers under pressure?</title>
		<link>http://5addedminutes.com/2012/01/05/expectations-table-managers-under-pressure/</link>
		<comments>http://5addedminutes.com/2012/01/05/expectations-table-managers-under-pressure/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Jan 2012 11:52:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>5 Added Minutes</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Premier League]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://5addedminutes.com/?p=821</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A break from league action after a busy period of games presents a good time to assess how the twenty Premier League clubs are progressing this season. At the start of the season, the Euro Club Index predicted what the league table would look like before the FA Cup weekend break. The methodology is explained [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=5addedminutes.com&amp;blog=19331015&amp;post=821&amp;subd=5addedminutes&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://5addedminutes.com/2012/01/05/expectations-table-managers-under-pressure/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">5addedminutes</media:title>
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		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/4588889908_4c2b370c3c.jpg?w=300" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Roberto Martinez</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/predjanaug1.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Predicted league table on January 5</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/expt050112.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Expectations-adjusted league table</media:title>
		</media:content>
	</item>
		<item>
		<title>The predictable Premier League</title>
		<link>http://5addedminutes.com/2011/12/24/the-predictable-premier-league/</link>
		<comments>http://5addedminutes.com/2011/12/24/the-predictable-premier-league/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 24 Dec 2011 18:34:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>5 Added Minutes</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[European Football]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Premier League]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://5addedminutes.wordpress.com/?p=790</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A couple of weeks ago I looked down the Premier League table and thought: there’s nothing particularly interesting about this season. The teams you’d expect to be near the top occupied the top six spaces, the teams with weak squads were struggling near the bottom, and the rest filled the space in between. This remains [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=5addedminutes.com&amp;blog=19331015&amp;post=790&amp;subd=5addedminutes&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://5addedminutes.com/2011/12/24/the-predictable-premier-league/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>11</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">5addedminutes</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/5759776862_3dc2496b7e.jpg?w=300" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Manchester United 2010/11</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/unpr2011.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Unpredictability, 2011</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/unprch.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Change in unpredictability</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/unprstr102.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Unpredictability and strength, 2010</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/unpstr11.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Unpredictability and strength, 2011</media:title>
		</media:content>
	</item>
		<item>
		<title>How much is a clean sheet worth?</title>
		<link>http://5addedminutes.com/2011/12/10/how-much-is-a-clean-sheet-worth/</link>
		<comments>http://5addedminutes.com/2011/12/10/how-much-is-a-clean-sheet-worth/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Dec 2011 11:56:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>5 Added Minutes</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[European Football]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Premier League]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://5addedminutes.wordpress.com/?p=777</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In September last year Soccer By The Numbers tested a suggestion from Mike Forde, Chelsea’s Performance Director, that there is a “stronger correlation between clean sheets and where you finish than goals scored and where you finish.” The post found a clean sheet to be worth roughly the same as three goals; that is if [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=5addedminutes.com&amp;blog=19331015&amp;post=777&amp;subd=5addedminutes&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://5addedminutes.com/2011/12/10/how-much-is-a-clean-sheet-worth/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>6</slash:comments>
	
		<media:content url="http://1.gravatar.com/avatar/9c3bdf22a03b9893adb604267ac7d5f0?s=96&#38;d=http%3A%2F%2F1.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2Fad516503a11cd5ca435acc9bb6523536%3Fs%3D96&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">5addedminutes</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/4799970292_c2deb12c17.jpg?w=300" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Manuel Neuer</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/eptsconc.png?w=300" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Expected points by goals conceded</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/eptsscore.png?w=300" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Expected points by goals scored</media:title>
		</media:content>
	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Quantifying Lucas’ absence</title>
		<link>http://5addedminutes.com/2011/12/02/quantifying-lucas-absence/</link>
		<comments>http://5addedminutes.com/2011/12/02/quantifying-lucas-absence/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Dec 2011 08:14:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>5 Added Minutes</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Premier League]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://5addedminutes.wordpress.com/?p=765</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The widespread disappointment that met the news of Lucas’ injury is a reflection on the Brazilian’s progress; his tale of zero to hero is now well-repeated in mainstream discussion. Statistics have justified his continued role in the team. He’s been the league’s most prolific tackler both this and last season, and also produced a fine [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=5addedminutes.com&amp;blog=19331015&amp;post=765&amp;subd=5addedminutes&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://5addedminutes.com/2011/12/02/quantifying-lucas-absence/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>6</slash:comments>
	
		<media:content url="http://1.gravatar.com/avatar/9c3bdf22a03b9893adb604267ac7d5f0?s=96&#38;d=http%3A%2F%2F1.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2Fad516503a11cd5ca435acc9bb6523536%3Fs%3D96&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">5addedminutes</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/3630736200_5e3a053724_z.jpg?w=233" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Lucas Leiva</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/lucasrecord.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Liverpool&#039;s league record with Lucas</media:title>
		</media:content>
	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Expectations table: predicting final positions</title>
		<link>http://5addedminutes.com/2011/11/13/expectations-table-predicting-final-positions/</link>
		<comments>http://5addedminutes.com/2011/11/13/expectations-table-predicting-final-positions/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Nov 2011 12:12:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>5 Added Minutes</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Premier League]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://5addedminutes.wordpress.com/?p=754</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Recently I’ve been trying to assess Premier League clubs’ results at early stages in the season, bearing in mind some teams face relatively easy fixtures, and others less so. The method I used during the October and November international breaks proved popular, despite inherent flaws. Infostrada Sports’ Euro Club Index accounts for these flaws by [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=5addedminutes.com&amp;blog=19331015&amp;post=754&amp;subd=5addedminutes&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://5addedminutes.com/2011/11/13/expectations-table-predicting-final-positions/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>7</slash:comments>
	
		<media:content url="http://1.gravatar.com/avatar/9c3bdf22a03b9893adb604267ac7d5f0?s=96&#38;d=http%3A%2F%2F1.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2Fad516503a11cd5ca435acc9bb6523536%3Fs%3D96&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">5addedminutes</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2011/11/5753701685_f5a9c1489b.jpg?w=300" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Manchester City</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2011/11/predtableaug.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">ECI predicted table, August 2011</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2011/11/predtablenov.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">ECI predicted table, November 2011</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2011/11/expectationstable0711111.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">ECI change in predicted points</media:title>
		</media:content>
	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Expectations table: Arsenal recover lost ground</title>
		<link>http://5addedminutes.com/2011/11/08/expectations-table-arsenal-recover-lost-ground/</link>
		<comments>http://5addedminutes.com/2011/11/08/expectations-table-arsenal-recover-lost-ground/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Nov 2011 19:59:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>5 Added Minutes</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Premier League]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://5addedminutes.wordpress.com/?p=742</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Last month, my expectations-adjusted league table attracted a lot of good feedback, and so November’s international break provides a good window to revisit the standings. The table directly compared this season’s results to last season’s corresponding games, thus giving a fair idea of a team’s progress or decline. Although not perfect, it’s a better way [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=5addedminutes.com&amp;blog=19331015&amp;post=742&amp;subd=5addedminutes&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://5addedminutes.com/2011/11/08/expectations-table-arsenal-recover-lost-ground/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>6</slash:comments>
	
		<media:content url="http://1.gravatar.com/avatar/9c3bdf22a03b9893adb604267ac7d5f0?s=96&#38;d=http%3A%2F%2F1.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2Fad516503a11cd5ca435acc9bb6523536%3Fs%3D96&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">5addedminutes</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2011/11/premier_arsenal_x_liverpool__21.jpg?w=300" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Arsenal recover lost ground</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2011/11/expectationstable0611111.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Expectations-adjusted table: 08/11/11</media:title>
		</media:content>
	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Do early kick offs produce fewer goals?</title>
		<link>http://5addedminutes.com/2011/11/02/do-early-kick-offs-produce-fewer-goals/</link>
		<comments>http://5addedminutes.com/2011/11/02/do-early-kick-offs-produce-fewer-goals/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Nov 2011 15:44:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>5 Added Minutes</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Premier League]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://5addedminutes.wordpress.com/?p=736</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There’s a belief that early Premier League kick offs tend to be cagey affairs, often decided by the odd goal. The reasoning is two-fold: early matches tend to be high-profile encounters between rivals or closely-matched teams, and perhaps players are also aware of the public focus on such televised games. However, in the last five [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=5addedminutes.com&amp;blog=19331015&amp;post=736&amp;subd=5addedminutes&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">Arsenal v Spurs</media:title>
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		<media:content url="http://5addedminutes.files.wordpress.com/2011/11/kotimesgoals.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Number of goals per kick off time</media:title>
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